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In honor of Groundhog Day and in the spirit of fun, we pitted groundhogs from all over the United States against each other — and data from NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information — to see who’s the most accurate. More of Phil’s past predictions are also available from the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. For an overview of some fun facts about Groundhog Day and the accuracy of the furry forecaster, check out our infographic. To see the latest climate outlooks, visit NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Friday, Feb. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger) This year, NOAA took a deeper dive into Groundhog Day results and graded the work of 19 groundhogs and groundhog surrogates to determine the accuracy of their predictions. Spoiler: Phil came in 17th. NOAA released a study of Groundhog Day predictions and found Punxsutawney Phil to be the 17th most accurate groundhog in the United States. File Photo by George M Powers/UPI | License Photo. In Gobbler's Knob, Pennsylvania at the crack of dawn today, the nation's most famous groundhog Punxsutawney Phil did not see his shadow, thus raising hopes for an early spring. How accurate are Phil's "predictions"? In 2015, he forecast six more weeks of winter (he saw his shadow), but it wasn't meant to be. Infographic showing an illustrated groundhog with a table showing the spring predictions made by “Punxsutawney Phil” versus U.S. temperature departures from average from the NOAA U.S. Climate report from 2014-2023. (Image credit: NOAA/NCEI) Groundhog Day Forecasts and Climate History, from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), National Centers for Environmental Information: “Every February 2, a crowd of thousands gathers at Gobbler’s Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, to await a special forecast from a groundhog named Phil. A Groundhog Club handler holds Punxsutawney Phil, the weather-prognosticating groundhog, during the 133rd celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, on Feb. 2, 2019. With so few early-spring predictions, that makes 2024 a rarity for Groundhog Day. It gives anyone tired of winter a reason to rejoice today. Phil might be the most famous animal weather forecaster The NOAA recently posted a Grading the Groundhogs study on their website, “Groundhog Day has been celebrated in the United States since at least February 2, 1886,” the website reads. Which 'groundhogs' are best at Feb. 2 predictions of more winter? New York's Staten Island Chuck topped NOAA's list with an 85% accuracy rate, followed by Georgia's General Beauregard Lee in Here's what the weather forecast shows for Punxsutawney Phil's prediction for Groundhog Day on Sunday morning. (10 years of data are missing), according to records from NOAA dating back to 1887. "Predicting the arrival of springtime for an entire country—especially one with varied regional climates like the United States—isn’t easy," wrote NOAA in an article on Groundhog Day weather history. According to NOAA since 1887, Phil has predicted more winter 107 times, and an early spring just 20 times, with 10 years without recorded data. Here's what the weather forecast shows for Punxsutawney Phil's prediction for Groundhog Day on Sunday morning. The Weather Channel according to records from NOAA dating back to 1887. yeah, so rightfully so. the day actually originated in pennsylvania and in punxsutawney. groundhog day isn’t just one day for the city’s groundhog club. it’s marked by a multi day celebration that even includes a groundhog ball. and this year will be extra special day for phil, as it’s his first groundhog day as a father here in alabama. This year, NOAA took a deeper dive into Groundhog Day results and graded the work of 19 groundhogs and groundhog surrogates to determine the accuracy of their predictions. Spoiler: Phil came in When is Groundhog Day 2025? Groundhog Day will take place Sunday, Feb. 2, 2025. Thousands will show up in person, with the grounds to Gobblers Knob opening at 4 a.m., and millions will tune in to see if Punxsutawney Phil will see his shadow. More: Where to watch Bill Murray's 1993 classic movie 'Groundhog Day' for Groundhog Day. What is The big picture on how much snow, on average, is still to come after Groundhog Day: which is based on NOAA's 30-year average from 1991 through 2020. Groundhog Day blizzard A large winter storm impacted many central, eastern and northeastern states. The city of Chicago was brought to a virtual standstill as up to 2 feet of snow fell in the area.
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Photos from events, contest for the best costume, videos from master classes.
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