When is Groundhog Day 2023?: Since making his first prediction in 1887, Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Weather Almanac. In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly worse. According to the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 30% of the time over the past decade. ANIMALS OTHER THAN PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL THAT WILL TRY TO PREDICT END OF WINTER ON GROUNDHOG DAY. In 2021, Phil predicted more winter. Every Feb. 2 since the 1880s, nationally known as Groundhog Day, it has been a tradition to wake Meteorologist Hall of Famer Punxsutawney Phil from a stump on Gobbler’s Knob at 7:25 a.m. EST to see his prediction on whether or not winter is almost over. Legend has it that if Phil sees his shadow, then there will be six more weeks of winter. According to the data, Phil got it right last year in 2024, calling for an early spring. But over the last 10 years, the groundhog has been correct only two other times: 2020 and 2015, resulting in an accuracy rate of 30%. In fairness to Phil, climatology isn't for the faint of heart. However, the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club — which claims the same groundhog has been making predictions since the 1800s thanks to drinking the "elixir of life" — alleges, without evidence, that The rodent has been predicting the start of spring since 1887. usually right? Phil the groundhog has been forecasting the seasons on Groundhog Day at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney since 1887 Even though he’s been forecasting since 1887, Phil’s track record for the entire country isn’t perfect. To determine just how accurate he is, we’ve compared U.S. national temperatures with Phil’s forecasts. On average, Phil has gotten it right 30% of the time over the past 10 years. Phil’s 2023 Forecast The first known record of Groundhog Day was in a local paper in 1886 in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. Since 1887, Phil has seen his shadow 105 times, indicating there is a long winter in store, according to the NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information. Phil has predicted an early spring only 20 times and there is no record for 10 Here's what to know about just how reliable his predications have come to be: Groundhog Day 2024: Phil has been right only about 39% of the time, But how many times has Phil been right? Turns out his track record for weather prediction isn’t 100% or even 50%. Since 1887, Phil and his predecessors have seen their shadow 104 times, and Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time since the tradition started in 1887, according to the Stormfax Weather Almanac. Phil has seen his shadow more often than not, predicting a longer Flipping a coin might be as accurate as Phil. Since 1988, the groundhog was 'right' 14 times and 'wrong' 16 times. The last time the groundhog was right was in 2020. You can find out all of Phil's past predictions by clicking here. Groundhog Day can go either way weather-wise for Portland, Maine. Phil's track record in a recent 10-year span has kept up with that historical trend, with the groundhog being right just 40% of the time, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric How many times has Phil been right? CBS News said it best “Groundhog Day,” but the custom has roots in European agricultural life, according to the Associated Press. Feb. 2 marks the Phil relives the same day approximately 12,400 times in Groundhog Day, equating to almost 34 years. Groundhog Day director Harold Ramis initially believed Phil was trapped for 10 years, but later Is Groundhog Day accurate? How many times has Phil been right? They rated him as right 40% of the time between his first forecast and 2022. where people of German descent have been How many times over the years has the groundhog seen his shadow? With this compilation of Punxsutawney Phil's forecasts, you can find out. Groundhog Day According to the tradition, if Phil sees his shadow and returns to his hole, he has predicted six more weeks of winter-like weather. [1] If Phil does not see his shadow, he has predicted an "early spring." [2] Punxsutawney's event is the most famous of many Groundhog Day festivals held in the United States and Canada. The event formally began 1. Watch Groundhog Day—and Live It Like Bill Murray! Let’s be honest: Groundhog Day (the movie) is as synonymous with the holiday as the actual groundhog. Bill Murray’s comedic performance as Phil Connors, the grumpy weatherman trapped in a time loop, has become a classic.
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