Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. Here's how accurate his forecasts have been over the years. Every Feb. 2, the world's most famous groundhog Punxsutawney Phil rises from its burrow in Pennsylvania for Groundhog Day to give the prediction on what type of weather the U.S. could expect to Groundhog Day has been celebrated in the United States since at least February 2, 1886. Starting in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, with its now-famous groundhog, Punxsutawney Phil, the tradition spread throughout America. It is now celebrated all over, and not just with groundhogs. But over the last 10 years, the groundhog has been correct only two other times: 2020 and 2015, resulting in an accuracy rate of 30%. In fairness to Phil, climatology isn't for the faint of heart. As we approach Groundhog Day on Feb. 2, everyone is eager to know if we can expect spring weather sooner rather than later. but are his predictions accurate? In 2023, Phil’s forecast has Even though he’s been forecasting since 1887, Phil’s track record for the entire country isn’t perfect. To determine just how accurate he is, we’ve compared U.S. national temperatures with Phil’s forecasts. On average, Phil has gotten it right 30% of the time over the past 10 years. Phil’s 2023 Forecast In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly worse. According to the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 30% of the time over the past decade. ANIMALS OTHER THAN PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL THAT WILL TRY TO PREDICT END OF WINTER ON GROUNDHOG DAY. In 2021, Phil predicted more winter. The rodent has been predicting the start of spring since 1887. Phil the groundhog has been forecasting the seasons on Groundhog Day at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney since 1887, but just how Phil has been right about early spring or long winter only 30% of the time over the last 10 years. He made the correct call in 2014, 2016 and 2020. It’s too soon to tell if his 2024 early-spring NOAA released a study of Groundhog Day predictions and found Punxsutawney Phil to be the 17th most accurate groundhog in the United States. Only groundhogs who have been predicting the weather Punxsutawney Phil is the best-known groundhog who has been making predictions since 1886, according to Punxsutawney Groundhog Club. The Groundhog Day tradition as we know it dates to 1887. Here is what you need to know about Groundhog Day: the day dedicated to a weather-predicting rodent. he isn't the most accurate. Ohio's groundhog, Buckeye Chuck, has been correct an yeah, so rightfully so. the day actually originated in pennsylvania and in punxsutawney. groundhog day isn’t just one day for the city’s groundhog club. it’s marked by a multi day celebration that even includes a groundhog ball. and this year will be extra special day for phil, as it’s his first groundhog day as a father here in alabama. Groundhog Day has been a tradition at Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania since the late 1800s and it's still going strong. NOAA's debunking of woodchuck weather forecasting doesn't Which 'groundhogs' are best at Feb. 2 predictions of more winter? New York's Staten Island Chuck topped NOAA's list with an 85% accuracy rate, followed by Georgia's General Beauregard Lee in As Groundhog Day approaches, all eyes are on Phil, but the pressure is on as the famous groundhog has a not-so-great accuracy rate. According to the StormFax Weather Almanac , Phil has an overall “Groundhog Day has been celebrated in the United States since at least February 2, 1886,” the website reads. And based on their research, it seems that Phil is not the most accurate Groundhog handler AJ Derume holds Punxsutawney Phil, who saw his shadow, predicting late spring during the 136th annual Groundhog Day festivities on Feb. 2, 2022, in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. Groundhog Day has both Pagan and Christian roots all the way back to the 18 th and 19 th centuries, and even medieval times. In Europe, early Christians held a holiday to bless the candles for the Pennsylvania's Punxsutawney Phil has been at it since 1887, but Georgia’s Beau gives him a run for his money — especially in the accuracy department. Which groundhog is more accurate? By the
Articles and news, personal stories, interviews with experts.
Photos from events, contest for the best costume, videos from master classes.