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But over the last 10 years, the groundhog has been correct only two other times: 2020 and 2015, resulting in an accuracy rate of 30%. In fairness to Phil, climatology isn't for the faint of heart. Groundhog Day is this weekend so let’s review how accurate the groundhog is! In the 129-year history of the tradition, Phil’s accuracy rate remains low at only 39%. NOAA released the study ahead of Groundhog Day, The most famous weather-predicting groundhog, Pennsylvania's Punxsutawney Phil, was all the way down at 17th place, having predicted the weather In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly worse. According to the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 30% of the time over the past decade. ANIMALS OTHER THAN PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL THAT WILL TRY TO PREDICT END OF WINTER ON GROUNDHOG DAY. In 2021, Phil predicted more winter. Sadly, the groundhog is often wrong when it comes to his predictions. Since making his first prediction in 1887, Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Weather If all else fails, you can always watch the 1993 classic film “Groundhog Day.” It stars Bill Murray, a weatherman who gets stuck reliving the celebration in Punxsutawney day after day. According to the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, Phil’s predictions have never been wrong. However, the Stormfax Almanac as well as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) gave Phil a 39 percent success rate of all time and a 40 percent success rate in the past 10 years. The Groundhog Day gathering has become a cornerstone event in Punxsutawney, which has marked the occasion every year since mention of the holiday first appeared in 1886 in the local newspaper That's a 47% accuracy rate," he said at the time. Punxsutawney Phil vs. weather forecasters. "But compared to the terms with which Groundhog Day predictions are made, which are if the weather Any other combination would indicate that his forecast did not verify. Just looking at the last 30 years, Punxsutawney Phil’s success rate was only around 37%. Groundhog Day proponents state that the rodents' forecasts are 75- to 90-percent accurate. A Canadian study for 13 cities in the past 30 to 40 years puts the success rate level at only 37 percent. The National Climatic Data Center reportedly has stated that the overall predictions accuracy rate is around 39 percent. Punxsutawney Phil Groundhog’s Day before predictions - Punxsutawney Phil has 40% success rate in forecasting Punxsutawney Phil's Groundhog Day forecast has him emerging from his burrow, with the presence or absence of his shadow supposedly predicting either six more weeks of winter or an early spring How accurate is Punxsutawney Phil's Groundhog Day prediction? How about Dunkirk Dave? Did he see his shadow? Phil has a 39% all-time success rate, staying on par with that number over the past Punxsutawney Phil catches some sun in Phil's Burrow inside Punxsutawney Memorial Library, the day before Groundhog Day in downtown Punxsutawney, Pa. , Tuesday, Feb. 1, 2022. About Lil. Lander Lil, a bronze statue of a prairie dog, has been predicting the future of winter weather for Wyoming since 1984. There really was a real Lander Lil before the installation of a larger-than-life bronze statue, which stands lookout from her perch on the grounds of the local Post Office. According to a Canadian groundhog study, this is just 2 percent higher than the average groundhog success rate of 37 percent (the most accurate hog-nosticators in the study resided in Yellowknife The first official Groundhog Day celebration took place on February 2, 1887, in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. The annual ritual has roots in pre-Christian traditions and was brought to the U.S. by The Groundhog Day organisers claim that Phil’s predictions are accurate about 39 The success rate of these predictions is more of a fun aspect rather than a scientifically accurate measure Thursday, Feb. 2 is Groundhog Day. Whatever his success rate, P. Phil will be ushered or beckoned from his burrow at 6:30 a.m. Central Standard Time and see either his shadow or the clouds Groundhog Day (Pennsylvania German: Grund'sau dåk, Grundsaudaag, Grundsow Dawg, The National Geographic Society reports a 28% success rate. [118]
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