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As for 2025, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction center is forecasting above average temperatures across the southern part of the country in the week after Groundhog Day, while average and slightly colder than average temperatures will stick around for the northern tier. *Note that some groundhogs did not make predictions every year in the past 20 years. Special Mention: Punxsatawney Phil. Although he is not the most accurate seasonal prognosticator, we would be remiss not to honor the longest-running weather-forecasting groundhog in the United States, Punxsutawney Phil. NOAA released a study of Groundhog Day predictions and found Punxsutawney Phil to be the 17th most accurate groundhog in the United States. The most accurate weather predictor of the bunch was Groundhog Day Forecast 2025: Will Punxsutawney Phil See His Shadow And How Accurate Is The Rodent? However, last year's declaration of an early spring was a pretty accurate prediction. This year, NOAA took a deeper dive into Groundhog Day results and graded the work of 19 groundhogs and groundhog surrogates to determine the accuracy of their predictions. Spoiler: Phil came in Which 'groundhogs' are best at Feb. 2 predictions of more winter? New York's Staten Island Chuck topped NOAA's list with an 85% accuracy rate, followed by Georgia's General Beauregard Lee in Watch: Punxsutawney Phil delivers his Groundhog Day 2024 forecast 05:08. 2023: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. Phil's accuracy rate over the time period was 36%. Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. Shadow — His prediction was wrong. Phil's accuracy rate "It's extremely difficult to give an estimate of how accurate climate predictions are," Unger told Live Science in 2011. "But compared to the terms with which Groundhog Day predictions are made That’s what happened during the groundhog’s very first prediction of a long winter in 1887. Phil’s accuracy issues don’t detract from what Groundhog Day is really about. Here's when Groundhog Day began: The first mention of Groundhog Day came in 1886 in Punxsutawney. Over the years, several other locations have begun using their own groundhog, including General Beauregard Lee of Atlanta, Dunkirk Dave of Dunkirk, New York, and Jimmy of Sun Prairie, Wisconsin. Here's the forecast for Sunday morning: Cloudy conditions and chilly temperatures in the upper-20s are expected in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania when Phil makes his prediction around 7:08 a.m. ET. yeah, so rightfully so. the day actually originated in pennsylvania and in punxsutawney. groundhog day isn’t just one day for the city’s groundhog club. it’s marked by a multi day celebration that even includes a groundhog ball. and this year will be extra special day for phil, as it’s his first groundhog day as a father here in alabama. As Groundhog Day approaches, all eyes are on Phil, but the pressure is on as the famous groundhog has a not-so-great accuracy rate. According to the StormFax Weather Almanac , Phil has an overall This year, NOAA took a deeper dive into Groundhog Day results and graded the work of 19 groundhogs and groundhog surrogates to determine the accuracy of their predictions. Spoiler: Phil came in Groundhog Day weather forecast for Georgia. According to a 2022 study by FiveThirtyEight.com, Beau boasts a 63% accuracy rate for predictions from 2012 to 2021, outshining Phil’s 45.5%. The How does a groundhog forecast the weather? In 1979, the Ohio legislature named him the official groundhog for the Buckeye State, per Groundhog-Day.com. How accurate is Phil? How accurate is Chuck? For an overview of some fun facts about Groundhog Day and the accuracy of the furry forecaster, check out our infographic. To see the latest climate outlooks, visit NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. For the current weather forecast in your area, check out your local National Weather Service forecast office. In 2025, 138 years later, Punxsutawney Phil is making his predictions to a sold-old crowd. Who is Punxsutawney Phil? Punxsutawney Phil is the famous groundhog who predicts the weather in Entertainment; When is Groundhog Day 2025? What to know about Punxsutawney Phil’s next prediction. Published: Jan. 27, 2025, 5:10 a.m.

groundhog day prediction accuracy tom cruise groundhog day
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