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In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly worse. According to the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 30% of the time over the past decade. ANIMALS OTHER THAN PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL THAT WILL TRY TO PREDICT END OF WINTER ON GROUNDHOG DAY. In 2021, Phil predicted more winter. According to the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, Phil’s predictions have never been wrong. However, the Stormfax Almanac as well as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) gave Phil a 39 percent success rate of all time and a 40 percent success rate in the past 10 years. Philadelphia's temperature forecast was correct only 40 percent of the time over 20 years. Image 1 of 5 In the last 10 years, he also got it right 40 percent of the time. Sadly, the groundhog is often wrong when it comes to his predictions. Since making his first prediction in 1887, Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Weather Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. 2013: No shadow — His prediction was right. 2014: Shadow He's generally right between 39 and 40 percent of the time. Phil has made 127 predictions since 1886, when Groundhog Day was first established as a holiday (the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club was Here is what you need to know about Groundhog Day: the day dedicated to a weather-predicting rodent. The so-called psychic is only right around 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Groundhog Day 2024:Watch livestream of Punxsutawney Phil as he looks for his shadow How often is Punxsutawney Phil right? Sadly, the groundhog is often wrong when it comes to his predictions. Let’s look at the last few years of Groundhog Day predictions. Updated: Feb. 01, 2023, 10:05 p.m. An often-quoted metric is that he’s right about 39 percent of the time. The first official Groundhog Day took place on February 2, 1887, in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. The event took up permanent residence at Gobbler’s Knob the following year. The groundhog‘s popularity was given an even greater boost following the release of the 1993 Bill Murray movie Groundhog Day. The origins of Groundhog Day come from the Christian celebration of Candlemas. Since making his first prediction in 1887, Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Weather Almanac. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Groundhog Club handler A.J. Dereume holds Punxsutawney Phil during the 138th celebration of Groundhog Day on Gobbler's Knob in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Friday, Feb. 2, 2024. (AP Photo/Barry Reeger) Groundhog Day 2022 prediction: Six more weeks of winter Using data from weather.gov and groundhog.org, NEWS10 was able to find the last recorded snowfall of the season and compare it to Phil’s Four of the seven cities with the highest percentage of seasonal snow after Groundhog Day are along the Northeast Interstate 95 corridor: Boston, New York City and Philadelphia each typically pick PHILADELPHIA - As for Groundhog Day in In short, not great. In the last decade, he was right 30 percent of the time. And, if you go back 20 years, he was right 40 percent of the time. Sam Light, center, president of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club, points to a sign held by members of the club in Gobbler’s Knob, Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, Jan. 1961. They posed for the picture a few days before Groundhog Day, Feb. 2, with a stuffed stand-in for Punxsutawney Phil. (AP Photo) According to a number of sources, he has only been right 36 to 39 percent of the time. In 1886, a group of groundhog hunters from Punxsutawney dubbed themselves “The Punxsutawney Groundhog Club Punxsutawney Phil is held by the handler as the prediction for six more weeks of winter is read during Groundhog day ceremonies on February 2, 2018, in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania. Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. 2013: No shadow — His prediction was right. 2014: Shadow
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