groundhog day accuracy rate groundhog day blizzard of 2025 michigan

But over the last 10 years, the groundhog has been correct only two other times: 2020 and 2015, resulting in an accuracy rate of 30%. In fairness to Phil, climatology isn't for the faint of heart. NOAA released the study ahead of Groundhog Day, which falls on Sunday, to analyze which groundhogs -- along with one prairie dog statue and a tortoise -- were the most accurate in predicting Phil came in at 17th out of 19 -- behind a trio of taxidermied groundhogs -- with an accuracy rate of just 35%, NOAA said. Groundhog Day Jan 31, 2024 If Lander Lil "sees" a shadow on Groundhog Day, then more winter is expected. How Punxsutawney Phil fared Overall, 14 of the groundhogs had 50% accuracy or better. Phil's accuracy was just 35% f rom 2005 to 2024, according to data compiled by NOAA. Here's when Groundhog Day began: The first mention of Groundhog Day came in 1886 in Punxsutawney. Groundhog Day is this weekend so let's review how accurate the groundhog is! News. In the 129-year history of the tradition, Phil’s accuracy rate remains low at only 39%. Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. Here's how accurate his forecasts have been over the years. Sadly, the groundhog is often wrong when it comes to his predictions. Since making his first prediction in 1887, Punxsutawney Phil has been right 39% of the time, according to the Stormfax Weather That's a 47% accuracy rate," he said at the time. Punxsutawney Phil vs. weather forecasters. "But compared to the terms with which Groundhog Day predictions are made, which are if the weather Phil’s accuracy issues don’t detract from what Groundhog Day is really about. It’s a massive festival event in Punxsutawney filled with music, celebrations and tourism dollars. Phil came in at 17th out of 19 -- behind a trio of taxidermied groundhogs -- with an accuracy rate of just 35%, NOAA said. Punxsutawney Phil doesn't see shadow on Groundhog Day, meaning early Groundhog Day is this weekend so let's review how accurate the groundhog is! News. In the 129-year history of the tradition, Phil’s accuracy rate remains low at only 39%. Which groundhog is more accurate? By the numbers: According to a 2022 study by FiveThirtyEight.com , Beau boasts a 63% accuracy rate for predictions from 2012 to 2021, outshining Phil’s 45.5%. Any other combination would indicate that his forecast did not verify. Just looking at the last 30 years, Punxsutawney Phil’s success rate was only around 37%. The Groundhog Day gathering has become a cornerstone event in Punxsutawney, which has marked the occasion every year since mention of the holiday first appeared in 1886 in the local newspaper Locally, Phil's accuracy rate can swing from 40% to 50% – meaning you may have more luck predicting the next six weeks by flipping a coin. Groundhog Day. on now. 7AM: NBC10 News Today. In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly better. According to the NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 40% of the time over the STATEN ISLAND, N.Y. — Staten Island Chuck is getting ready for his annual weather prediction on Groundhog Day 2025. With an accuracy rate around 80%, there’s no doubt the furry forecaster is Which groundhog is more accurate? By the numbers: According to a 2022 study by FiveThirtyEight.com , Beau boasts a 63% accuracy rate for predictions from 2012 to 2021, outshining Phil’s 45.5%. Staten Island Chuck will make his weather prediction on Groundhog Day in NYC on Feb. 2 at the Staten Island Zoo. the Staten Island Zoo said Chuck has had an 80% accuracy rate for predictions

groundhog day accuracy rate groundhog day blizzard of 2025 michigan
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