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Accuracy groundhog day predictions groundhog day 2025 schedule

accuracy groundhog day predictions groundhog day 2025 schedule

As for 2025, the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction center is forecasting above average temperatures across the southern part of the country in the week after Groundhog Day, while average and slightly colder than average temperatures will stick around for the northern tier. February is also bringing a weather pattern change. Each Groundhog Day, Punxsutawney Phil makes his prediction about a late end to winter weather or early start to spring temperatures. 2023: Shadow — His prediction was wrong. Phil's accuracy NOAA released a study of Groundhog Day predictions and found Punxsutawney Phil to be the 17th most accurate groundhog in the United States. The most accurate weather predictor of the bunch was This year, NOAA took a deeper dive into Groundhog Day results and graded the work of 19 groundhogs and groundhog surrogates to determine the accuracy of their predictions. Spoiler: Phil came in "It's extremely difficult to give an estimate of how accurate climate predictions are," Unger told Live Science in 2011. "But compared to the terms with which Groundhog Day predictions are made Phil's accuracy was just 35% f rom 2005 to 2024, according to data compiled by NOAA. However, last year's declaration of an early spring was a pretty accurate prediction. In the near term, the groundhog’s accuracy rate is slightly worse. According to the NOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information, Phil has been right about 30% of the time over the past decade. ANIMALS OTHER THAN PUNXSUTAWNEY PHIL THAT WILL TRY TO PREDICT END OF WINTER ON GROUNDHOG DAY. In 2021, Phil predicted more winter. There are 10 years—including a stretch from 1891 to 1897—within this long history when no prediction was recorded. With so few early-spring predictions, that makes 2024 a rarity for Groundhog Day. The people who take care of Phil, members of the Punxsutawney Groundhog Club’s Inner Circle, however, insist that Phil’s predictions are 100% accurate. The first known record of Groundhog Day PUNXSUTAWNEY, Penn. (WOIO) - Phil the groundhog in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania continued the yearly prediction as to whether or not spring will come early or if winter will last another six weeks. Which groundhog is more accurate? By the numbers: According to a 2022 study by FiveThirtyEight.com , Beau boasts a 63% accuracy rate for predictions from 2012 to 2021, outshining Phil’s 45.5%. Entertainment; When is Groundhog Day 2025? What to know about Punxsutawney Phil’s next prediction. Published: Jan. 27, 2025, 5:10 a.m. According to a 2022 study by FiveThirtyEight.com, Beau boasts a 63% accuracy rate for predictions from 2012 to 2021, outshining Phil’s 45.5%. The Dauset Trails Nature Center claims Beau’s Other Animals That Weigh In On The Forecast On Groundhog Day. In determining the accuracy of Punxsutawney Phil, Noaa compared national temperatures in the six weeks after Feb. 2 over the last 10 Here's the forecast for Sunday morning: Cloudy conditions and chilly temperatures in the upper-20s are expected in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania when Phil makes his prediction around 7:08 a.m. ET The NOAA recently posted a Grading the Groundhogs study on their website, which they wrote is “in honor of Groundhog Day and in the spirit of fun,” comparing the accuracy of Groundhog Day LANSING, Mich. (WLNS) — As we near the end of January, the next holiday on the list is Groundhog Day or February 2 (which is this Sunday!). Happening this weekend in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania Here's what the weather forecast shows for Punxsutawney Phil's prediction for Groundhog Day on Sunday morning. - Articles from The Weather Channel | weather.com Every Feb. 2, the most famous groundhog in the world has his moment in the spotlight. Punxsutawney Phil has been predicting the weather at Gobbler's Knob in western Pennsylvania since 1887. As we approach Groundhog Day on Feb. 2, everyone is eager to know if we can expect spring weather sooner rather than later. Legend has it that if Punxsutawney Phil sees his shadow, we’re in for

accuracy groundhog day predictions groundhog day 2025 schedule
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